Liquidity Scenarios & Risk Profiles
Liquidity Scenarios
Illustrative examples for a generic TOKEN / USDT pool
To show how concentrated‑liquidity positions behave under different management styles, we simulated three price paths for a TOKEN / USDT pair. The exercise compares:
Active LP (Rebalancing)
Uses a narrow range ($5.40–$6.60) and redeploys whenever price leaves the band.
Static LP (Set‑and‑Forget)
Same narrow range, but never rebalances.
Wide‑Range LP
Provides liquidity in a broad range ($4.80–$7.20) and never rebalances.
Assumptions
Initial TOKEN price: $6.00
Initial portfolio value: $1 000 (50 % TOKEN, 50 % USDT)
No farming or swap‑fee income is included—only price impact and impermanent loss.
Scenario #1 – Upward Momentum
Price rises 10 % twice, reaching $7.26. The Active LP rebalances once at $6.60.
Active LP
$1 049.40
+4.94 %
Static LP
$1 024.40
+2.44 %
Wide‑Range LP
$1 050.00
+5.00 %
Result: Active LP outperforms static but slightly trails the wide‑range approach in a strong up‑trend.
Scenario #2 – Downward Momentum
Price falls 10 % twice, touching $4.86. The Active LP rebalances once at $5.40.
Active LP
$867.28
‑13.27 %
Static LP
$846.62
‑15.34 %
Wide‑Range LP
$867.77
‑13.22 %
Result: Active LP limits losses versus static, but wide‑range still fares slightly better.
Scenario #3 – Oscillating Market
Price moves up to $6.60 and then returns to $6.00.
Active LP
$954.00
‑4.60 %
Static LP
$1 000.00
0 %
Wide‑Range LP
$1 000.00
0 %
Result: In a whipsaw, a single rebalance locks in loss; passive ranges preserve capital.
Key Takeaways
Active, narrow ranges can boost returns in trending markets but require timely rebalancing and carry higher downside risk if trends reverse.
Static narrow ranges are simple yet vulnerable to large moves.
Wide ranges reduce maintenance and price‑out risk but dilute fee capture (not shown in this fee‑free model).
Choose a strategy that matches your market outlook, time commitment, and risk tolerance.
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